Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.242643 0.284733 0.334630 0.398897 0.480595 0.582544 0.721929
2025-01-05 0.176235 0.225702 0.291923 0.389978 0.536900 0.758741 1.140950
2025-01-12 0.142803 0.194696 0.270674 0.396129 0.611830 0.999130 1.842496
2025-01-19 0.119069 0.169798 0.249121 0.391534 0.665339 1.237269 2.800510
2025-01-26 0.104860 0.155374 0.239002 0.400898 0.746832 1.588852 4.562867
2025-02-02 0.095050 0.145631 0.233724 0.416487 0.848726 2.080178 7.944646
2025-02-09 0.086653 0.136530 0.227207 0.427044 0.945445 2.667475 14.140876
2025-02-16 0.080125 0.129480 0.222810 0.440537 1.058944 3.472790 27.864966
2025-02-23 0.074132 0.122397 0.216808 0.448366 1.162918 4.430253 58.780304
2025-03-02 0.068701 0.115548 0.209922 0.451920 1.257894 5.565369 139.163031
2025-03-09 0.063576 0.108591 0.201545 0.449164 1.331419 6.795322 378.317765
2025-03-16 0.058667 0.101457 0.191604 0.439404 1.374155 7.983503 1229.789939
2025-03-23 0.055791 0.098167 0.189995 0.454000 1.537349 10.992898 48511.218852
2025-03-30 0.051665 0.091860 0.180463 0.442353 1.576141 13.012444 NaN
2025-04-06 0.049015 0.088357 0.177075 0.449284 1.718619 17.623279 NaN
2025-04-13 0.046019 0.083797 0.170425 0.443751 1.793263 22.072587 NaN
2025-04-20 0.044100 0.081364 0.168716 0.454778 1.982452 32.197443 NaN
2025-04-27 0.042648 0.079801 0.168981 0.473211 2.249728 52.453410 NaN
2025-05-04 0.041061 0.077766 0.167696 0.485719 2.500733 85.708866 NaN
2025-05-11 0.039713 0.076137 0.167263 0.501735 2.815128 157.858274 NaN
2025-05-18 0.038233 0.074058 0.165288 0.511042 3.097116 296.688473 NaN
2025-05-25 0.036709 0.071734 0.162299 0.515269 3.348293 582.246904 NaN
2025-06-01 0.035086 0.069038 0.157890 0.511991 3.523279 1125.854576 NaN